Updated: Nov 23, 2020
forgot to add the packers +2 to the record but not going through all the graphics again
packers +2 1.5 units
went ahead and placed a pretty good bet on a teaser of the vikings -1 and KC -2. Don’t want to give a percentage but at least a 4% play. i think ours will end up totaling close to 8
Don't know if my heart can take another day like yesterday. Let's just try and keep it simple today. The bets at the bottom are best we made earlier in the week and we put on early blog posts.
There are 4 Wong games. I put a small bit on all 4 of them but those have a 83% chance of hitting. As much as you disagree with the bets, you have to play the numbers on those.
We first thought that Hill starting for the Saints was a smoke show, but he took all the 1st team snaps. Insiders say that he was promised at least one start if Brees got hurt. Not saying that Winston won't get snaps if Hill struggles. Indications is that they will have a conservative game plan for him. Just don't like a team experimenting this late in the season.
The ability for the Eagles to get pressure on the QB and all the pressure they are feeling from the media leans towards the Eagles and the points. Like Miami in the game but going to just take the first half to get the number below 3. We really want to take the Steelers 1st half points but the line is at 15.5 and you have to pay quite the price to get it below 14. Keep an eye on that line though for you. We went ahead and teased the Steelers game down to a manage number.
Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Football Team
Lean: Under 48.0 (-115)
Lean: Cincinnati Bengals +1.5 (-105)
The Bengals will be much sounder up front with Jonah Williams and Quinton Spain back at his natural spot. Even with Joe Mixon out, I think we'll see Joe Burrow get more support from his offensive line after he was harrassed by Pittsburgh last week. Cincinnati was able to survive despite Mixon's absence earlier this season, playing to veteran Giovanni Bernard's strengths in incorporating him in the passing game. No. 2 pick Chase Young has slowed down some since a hot start and Alex Smith is still ramping up after his lengthy injury-related layoff. Ride Cincinnati and the under here.
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons +4.0 (-117)
The Falcons are getting back Calvin Ridley and won't have to deal with standout corner Marshon Lattimore, who has been ruled out today. With Taysom Hill starting at quarterback instead of the injured Drew Brees and the more conventional Jameis Winston, the lack of a downfield threat could hinder New Orleans. Ride the Falons
Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos
Lean: Miami Dolphins -3.5 (-110)
Drew Lock will be out there for the Broncos despite being listed as questionable and faces a pretty fierce defense that should help keep Lock's targets from making life easy for him. Offensively, we've seen Salvon Ahmed emerge right next to Tua Tagovailoa. Neither rookie is scared of the moment. Between their exploits and a strong defensive effort, we'll expect the Dolphins to deal with the altitude and pick up a victory in addition to covering the number in Denver. Ride Miami -3.5.
Lean: Patriots -121
The Texans still don't know if Laremy Tunsil is going to play, but he's been sick all week and hasn't practiced. Safety Michael Thomas is out, adding to the attrition for a defense that has been terrible for most of the season, producing just two wins against Jacksonville while surrendering 10 points in last week's loss to Cleveland thanks to an assist from overwhelming wind gusts. The Patriots should be able to run the ball effectively and should produce a win. Without a true homefield advantage due to COVID-19 and the fact the stadium roof will be open for the first time in seven years, Houston has nothing going for it here outside of the threat that Deshaun Watson always presents. Bill Belichick should handle that challenge effectively enough to produce a win considering corner Stephon Gilmore is among those back. Ride New England on the money line to avoid laying the 1.5-2 points.
Here are what we have right now. If you can wait a bit, give us till 11:00 Central Time to finalize them. Wanted to show you what we have already bet but something might come up that we like better and we want to shift the unit plays around for you guys. If you can't wait then go ahead, like we said, we have already bet these.